C42 Radar
Supervised learning meets multi-dimensional market analysis
Six scores per run across two timeframes. Four coin-level scores powered by supervised learning, two macro regime scores that size your positions automatically. One clear signal.
How it works
C42 Radar runs a multi-stage pipeline every time you hit “Run”. Here’s what happens under the hood.
Fresh market data is pulled from multiple sources across 50 coins – price, volume, volatility, and a range of proprietary metrics covering market structure and investor behavior.
Raw metrics are transformed into predictive features – momentum signals, mean-reversion indicators, regime classifiers, and cross-sectional comparisons – across two timeframes (7-day and 30-day).
A supervised learning model evaluates every coin on both horizons. Outputs are calibrated into two dimensions: relative (how good vs peers) and absolute (how good vs the coin’s own history).
A separate scoring engine evaluates the overall market regime. Three signal layers – risk appetite, market health, and breadth – are combined into weekly and monthly macro scores that determine whether conditions favour full exposure, reduced positions, or cash.
The top-ranked coins are filtered by an absolute quality threshold – only coins the model is genuinely confident about make the cut. The macro regime then sizes the position: full, half, or cash.
All six scores surface on your dashboard with a clear five-tier signal label from strongest to weakest. Export PDF reports, track paper trades against benchmarks, and explore historical scores going back to March 2025.
The output
AI-powered ranking of every coin for the next 7 days. 100 = highest conviction pick this week.
Calibrated against a full year of model output. Filters out “best of a bad bunch” – only flags truly strong setups.
Market-level regime score for the next 7 days. Blends risk appetite, market health, and breadth into one signal.
Same engine, 30-day horizon. Captures structural trends that weekly noise can miss.
Historical calibration over 30 days. Are conditions genuinely favourable – or just relatively better?
30-day market outlook. When bearish, the system moves to cash – protecting capital before picks matter.
Crash Risk Indicator
C42 Radar includes a daily Crash Risk Indicator that quantifies the probability of a severe BTC drawdown within the next 7 days. Updated every morning alongside the coin scores.
Thousands of simulated scenarios model how current market stress could cascade into a severe drawdown – based on the same physics that drive real liquidation events.
Combines options market data, derivatives positioning, credit market stress, and capital flows – the signals that professional risk desks monitor.
One number, every morning: the probability of a major BTC drop this week. Low means calm, high means caution. Validated against 8 years of market history.
Performance
Live testing uses weekly allocation between March 2025 and March 2026. Displayed performance indicators exclude transaction costs.
C42 outperformed in both bull and bear regimes. In rallies, the AI concentrates capital in high-conviction picks. In downturns, the macro overlay moves to full cash – 20 of 51 weeks were spent entirely in cash, protecting capital during the worst of the drawdown. Win rate: 73.6% of active weeks beat the benchmark.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. This is not investment advice.
Get started
Request your free 7-day trial or explore the live dashboard.